Disappointing Jobs Numbers will Force Mortgage Rates Lower

Already low mortgage rates will decline further in the coming days because of an extremely disappointing May jobs report. Markets expected 165,000 jobs were created in May but only 38,000 jobs were created. The bad news on employment sent 10 year bond yields down 14 basis points to 1.70 percent this past Friday.

By the end of this week, we expect average mortgage rates to decline between 5 to 15 basis points. Current 30 year mortgage rates are averaging 3.73 percent, so we could see average 30 year rates fall towards 3.65 percent. Thirty year rates near 3.65 percent hasn't been seen since May of 2013.

15 year mortgage rates today are averaging 2.71 percent, down 5 basis point from last week's average 15 year rate. Over the next week, average 15 year rates will decline towards 2.65 percent. The last time 15 year rates were as low as 2.65 percent was in April 2013.

Loan Term
Lender
APR / Rate
Fees / Points
Payment
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
5.315%
15-Year Fixed
5.125%
$5,000
Includes 0.750 points for $3,000
Lender Fees: $2,000
$3,190 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
5.554%
15-Year Fixed
5.250%
$8,000
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $4,000
$3,216 /mo
Tomo Mortgage, LLC.
NMLS #2059741
5.626%
15-Year Fixed
5.490%
$3,536
Includes 0.884 points for $3,536
Lender Fees: $0
$3,267 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
5.756%
15-Year Fixed
5.625%
$3,404
Includes 0.676 points for $2,704
Lender Fees: $700
$3,295 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
5.884%
15-Year Fixed
5.740%
$3,732
Includes 0.933 points for $3,732
Lender Fees: $0
$3,320 /mo
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
6.356%
30-Year Fixed
6.250%
$4,500
Includes 0.625 points for $2,500
Lender Fees: $2,000
$2,463 /mo
District Lending
NMLS #1835285
6.513%
5-Year ARM
6.375%
$5,804
Includes 0.951 points for $3,804
Lender Fees: $2,000
$2,496 /mo
Tomo Mortgage, LLC.
NMLS #2059741
6.569%
30-Year Fixed
6.490%
$3,312
Includes 0.828 points for $3,312
Lender Fees: $0
$2,526 /mo
Mutual of Omaha Mortgage, Inc.
NMLS #1025894
6.721%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$3,956
Includes 0.814 points for $3,256
Lender Fees: $700
$2,562 /mo
PenFed Credit Union
NMLS #401822
6.770%
30-Year Fixed
6.625%
$5,995
Includes 1.000 points for $4,000
Lender Fees: $1,995
$2,562 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
6.889%
15-Year Fixed
6.750%
$3,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $0
$3,540 /mo
New American Funding, LLC.
NMLS #6606
6.960%
30-Year Fixed
6.875%
$3,468
Includes 0.867 points for $3,468
Lender Fees: $0
$2,628 /mo
Rocket Mortgage
NMLS #3030
7.589%
30-Year Fixed
7.500%
$3,500
Includes 0.875 points for $3,500
Lender Fees: $0
$2,797 /mo
Rate data provided by RateUpdate.com. Displayed by ICB, a division of Mortgage Research Center, NMLS #1907, Equal Housing Opportunity. Payments do not include taxes and insurance premiums. Actual payments will be greater with taxes and insurance included. Rate and product details.

The decline in fixed long term mortgage rates won't last for long. Eventually the Federal Reserve will increase their key benchmark interest rate, the federal funds rate. Increases in the fed funds rate will drive bond yields higher and in turn will drive mortgage rates higher.

Average 5 year adjustable rates are currently averaging 2.87 percent, a decline from last week's average rate of 2.90 percent. Current 5 year jumbo adjustable mortgage rates are at 3.41 percent, up from last week's average 5 year jumbo rate of 3.29 percent.

 
Author: Brian McKay
June 7th, 2016

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