Mortgage Rates Make New Low for 2017

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Mortgage rates just hit a new low for 2017 on the heels of lower bond yields. Average 30 year mortgage rates are lower this week to 3.69 percent, down from last week's average rate of 3.75 percent. 10 year bond yields fell to 2.13 percent, putting downward pressure on mortgage rates.

For a little perspective on how low rates are right now, the all-time low for average 30 year rates is 3.30 percent, set back in 2012. Forecasts for higher mortgage rates in 2017 were wrong. At the beginning of the year, forecasts were for 30 year rates to move towards 5.00 percent.
Loan Type
Purchase    Refinance
Location
State/City    Zip Code
Loan Amt Points FICO % Down
  
$
30 yr fixed refi in 23223, All points, Credit score: 740+     Sort by:
Lender
APR
Rate
Cost & Fees
Notes
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Northwest Federal Credit Union
Northwest Federal Credit Union
300000
Refinance
4.545
4.500
USD
Northwest Federal Credit Union
4.545%
2/13/2019
4.500%
at 0.500 pts
45 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,520.06
Fees in APR: $79
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from LincolnWay Community Bank
LincolnWay Community Bank
300000
Refinance
4.406
4.375
USD
LincolnWay Community Bank
4.406%
2/19/2019
4.375%
at 0.000 pts
30 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,497.86
Fees in APR: $1,085
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Santander Bank, N.A.
Santander Bank, N.A.
300000
Refinance
4.683
4.625
USD
Santander Bank, N.A.
4.683%
2/19/2019
4.625%
at 0.000 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,542.42
Fees in APR: $2,004
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Bank of Oak Ridge
Bank of Oak Ridge
300000
Refinance
4.304
4.250
USD
Bank of Oak Ridge
4.304%
2/14/2019
4.250%
at 0.353 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $853
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from State Department Federal Credit Union
State Department Federal Credit Union
300000
Refinance
4.557
4.500
USD
State Department Federal Credit Union
4.557%
2/18/2019
4.500%
at 0.000 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,520.06
Fees in APR: $2,000
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Raymond James Bank, NA
Raymond James Bank, NA
300000
Refinance
4.662
4.625
USD
Raymond James Bank, NA
4.662%
2/19/2019
4.625%
at 0.000 pts
45 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,542.42
Fees in APR: $1,299
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Bank of America
Bank of America
300000
Refinance
4.326
4.250
USD
Bank of America
4.326%
2/13/2019
4.250%
at 0.472 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $1,289
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Apple Federal Credit Union
Apple Federal Credit Union
300000
Refinance
4.596
4.500
USD
Apple Federal Credit Union
4.596%
2/13/2019
4.500%
at 1.000 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,520.06
Fees in APR: $352
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Fulton Bank, NA
Fulton Bank, NA
300000
Refinance
4.686
4.625
USD
Fulton Bank, NA
4.686%
2/19/2019
4.625%
at 0.375 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,542.42
Fees in APR: $1,007
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Virginia Credit Union
Virginia Credit Union
300000
Refinance
4.465
4.375
USD
Virginia Credit Union
4.465%
2/19/2019
4.375%
at 0.500 pts
45 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,497.86
Fees in APR: $1,650
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Citizens Bank, NA
Citizens Bank, NA
300000
Refinance
4.665
4.625
USD
Citizens Bank, NA
4.665%
2/15/2019
4.625%
at 0.000 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,542.42
Fees in APR: $1,408
 
 

Mortage Data Provided by Bankrate.com Many lenders have different rates on their own Websites than those posted on Bankrate.com. In order to get the Bankrate.com rate, please identify yourself as a Bankrate.com customer. If you believe that you have received an inaccurate quote or are otherwise not satisfied with the services provided to you by the lender you choose, please click here.

The rates above were collected by Bankrate.com on the dates specified. Rates are subject to change without notice and may vary from branch to branch. Rate/APR and terms may vary based on the creditworthiness of the individual and the extent to which the loan differs from the one used for Bankrate.com quotes. For criteria used in surveys of rates above, click here. These quotes are from banks, thrifts, and brokers, some of whom have paid for a link to their own Web site, where you can find additional information.






Why are mortgage rates moving lower despite GDP growth and employment growth being strong? In short, low inflation. Despite the unemployment rate falling to 4.3 percent in July and 2nd quarter GDP growth coming in at a strong 2.6 percent rate, inflation isn't a concern.

Low inflation will keep the Federal Open Market Committee from raising interest rates. The Labor Department said July's Consumer Price Index rose only 0.1 percent in July. Over the past 12 months, CPI rose 1.7 percent, below the FOMC's target of 2.00 percent.

Where are Mortgage Rates Headed in 2017?


A lot will depend on whether or not the Fed increases the fed funds rate. The Fed has telegraphed three fed funds rate increases this year and has raised the rate twice already. This leaves one more rate increase in 2017. The Fed has three more meetings scheduled this year and the chances of that third rate increase happening are diminishing.

There is a slim chance of a rate hike during the next two Fed meetings, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. The likelihood of a rate increase during the September meeting is at 2.7 percent. The chance of a rate hike during the October meeting is lower, at 1.09 percent.

There is a higher chance of a rate hike during the December meeting but even that chance is diminishing. Last month the FedWatch Tool had a 42.8 percent chance of a rate hike in December, that has been lowered to 31.2 percent as of today.

It's unlikely mortgage rates will move higher in 2017, especially if the Fed doesn't raise rates any more this year. Long term bond yields are also falling because it's unlikely the Fed will increase rates. These factors will put downward pressure on mortgage rates.

For the rest of 2017, average 30 year mortgage rates will remain under 4.00 percent and possibly under 3.75 percent. Average 15 year mortgage rates currently at 2.96 percent and will likely remain near the 3.00 percent level.
 
Author: Brian McKay
September 7th, 2017