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Current Mortgage Rates on Verge of Hitting New Lows for 2014

Most were expecting higher mortgage rates throughout 2014 but just the opposite is happening. Early in the year, mortgage analysts were predicting conventional 30 year mortgage rates would hit 5.00 percent by the end of 2014. Average 30 year rates today are at 4.30 percent, just above the low of 4.13 percent this year.

Average rates on 30 year loans will move lower in the coming days because yields on 10 year bonds are tanking. Lenders set loan rates based on U.S. Treasury yields and 10 year bond yields are down 7 basis points today to 2.33 percent, the lowest point for the 10 year yield this year. This sharp decline will drive lenders to decrease mortgage rates in the coming days, which will drive the average mortgage rate lower, in all likelihood to a new low for 2014.

Yields are moving lower as a response to several factors. Economies across the globe remain sluggish and as a result, central banks are forcing interest rates lower to stimulate their economies. Bond yields declined to record lows across the European Union. German 10 year bond yields briefly fell below 1.00 percent for the first time ever.

Geopolitical tensions have been increasing in several different parts of the world and as a result investors are reducing their appetite for risk, instead investing in the safe haven of bonds in the Eurozone and in the United States. Investor demand for bonds has driven bond prices higher and bond yields lower. We could see 10 year U.S. bond yields fall to 2.00 percent in the months ahead. A 2.0o percent 10 year yield would send average 30 year mortgage rates towards 3.75 percent.

Average rates are still above 4.00 percent but there are many lenders quoting 30 year refinance rates below 4.00 percent. We have over 10 lenders quoting 30 year rates below 4.00 percent on our rate tables with points and without points.  Without providing any personal information, you can check on rates in your state by using the tables to view rates: Rate Tables.

Below is a list of average conforming and jumbo mortgage rates:

Average Conforming Mortgage Rates

  • 30 Year Fixed 4.30%

  • 15 Year Fixed 3.18%

  • 5 Year ARM 3.53%

Average Jumbo Mortgage Rates

  • 30 Year Jumbo Fixed 4.58%

  • 15 Year Jumbo Fixed 3.70%

  • 5 Year Jumbo ARM 3.59%

Author: Brian McKay
August 18th, 2014